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Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $913.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $354.0KEvent: Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin
24.5¢
Alina Charaeva payout
75.5¢
Sofia Kenin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:107 trades$122.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 97 min agoofficial metadata 24 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alina Charaeva · $9.0K net·12 wallets·$12.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSofia Kenin$22.7K@ 58¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-28 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Sofia Kenin in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Alina Charaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 25m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 25m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sofia Kenin@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Sofia Kenin@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Sofia Kenin DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.1K → $119 · 28s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alina Charaeva; negative values favor Sofia Kenin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlina Charaeva · $16.1K
6hSofia Kenin · $5.0K
24hSofia Kenin · $5.0K

Alina Charaeva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alina Charaeva price. Sofia Kenin fills are converted to the complementary Alina Charaeva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current24.5¢
VWAP 24h44.4¢▼ below by 19.9pp
VWAP 7d44.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alina Charaeva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$29.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$2.2K
70¢
$9.7K
65¢
$7.1K
60¢
$174
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.9K
45¢
$3.6K
40¢
$42.3K
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$6.1K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
← now
$4.3K
15¢
$552
10¢
$3.1K
5¢
$52
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlina Charaeva$21.2K@ 99.9¢0x0828…a1a6🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSofia Kenin$22.7K@ 58.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooSofia Kenin$22.7K
BUY VWAP 58.4¢·1 fill
jtwyslljySofia Kenin$15.7K
BUY VWAP 40.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.