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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $60.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $798.6KEvent: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
99.0¢
Baltimore Orioles
1.0¢
New York Yankees
1.2¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:213 trades$274.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Baltimore Orioles · $29.7K net·10 wallets·$35.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$23.6K@ 49¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Baltimore Orioles pressure: $40.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$40.5K
6h
+$140.1K
tracked
$274.8K

10 verified profitable wallets: Baltimore Orioles · $29.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.2¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +3.6pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Baltimore Orioles or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 25 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
omoi0i02 linked markets · $24.8K gross
0x60d7…e8742 linked markets · $58 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 96.0¢59m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp
Latest book event: New York Yankees UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $70 → $3 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Baltimore Orioles; negative values favor New York Yankees. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $40.5K
6hBaltimore Orioles · $140.1K
24hBaltimore Orioles · $153.3K

Baltimore Orioles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Baltimore Orioles price. New York Yankees fills are converted to the complementary Baltimore Orioles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.0¢
VWAP 24h61.9¢▲ above by 37.1pp
VWAP 7d61.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Baltimore Orioles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$28.2K
90¢
$20.1K
85¢
$9.0K
80¢
$14.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$6.9K
65¢
$16.2K
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$68.2K
45¢
$108.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$14.2K@ 93.0¢
omoi0i00xb3cf…0ebd
🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYNew York Yankees$14.1K@ 49.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$23.6K@ 49.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiBaltimore Orioles$72.3K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·59 fills
omoi0i0Baltimore Orioles$22.3K
BUY VWAP 94.2¢·6 fills
kkookkooBaltimore Orioles$16.9K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills
analdesutructorBaltimore Orioles$14.5K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·3 fills
Sassy-BucketNew York Yankees$14.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
beet420Baltimore Orioles$13.2K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Baltimore Orioles$10.3K
BUY VWAP 85.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.