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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $49.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $146.0KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
3.5¢
Atlanta Braves
96.5¢
Miami Marlins
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution70Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$60.6K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miami Marlins · $194 net·3 wallets·$23.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves$9.9K@ 59¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Atlanta Braves pressure: $13.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.5K
6h
+$15.2K
tracked
$60.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Miami Marlins · $194 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Braves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Miami Marlins DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $36.9K → $111 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Braves · $13.5K
6hAtlanta Braves · $15.2K
24hAtlanta Braves · $6.5K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.5¢
VWAP 24h48.9¢▼ below by 45.4pp
VWAP 7d48.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$13.2K
50¢
$25.6K
45¢
$6.8K
40¢
$6.4K
35¢
$2.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$4.3K
15¢
$2
10¢
$0
5¢
$631
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooAtlanta Braves$13.2K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.