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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $319.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $534.0KEvent: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
99.9¢
Los Angeles Angels
1.4¢
Seattle Mariners
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$200.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seattle Mariners · $16.4K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$56.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$23.7K@ 52¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Los Angeles Angels pressure: $20.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.7K
6h
−$7.7K
tracked
$200.3K

12 verified profitable wallets: Seattle Mariners · $16.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Los Angeles Angels or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 25 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
curie2 linked markets · $34.6K gross
0x95f5…779f2 linked markets · $35 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 95.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.4pp1h CONFIRMED +4.6pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Angels2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Seattle Mariners@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
Latest book event: Seattle Mariners DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $6.7K → $220 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Angels; negative values favor Seattle Mariners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLos Angeles Angels · $20.7K
6hSeattle Mariners · $7.7K
24hSeattle Mariners · $28.2K

Los Angeles Angels price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Angels price. Seattle Mariners fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Angels probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.7¢▲ above by 32.2pp
VWAP 7d67.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Angels price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$40.1K
90¢
$3.1K
85¢
$3.0K
80¢
$4.7K
75¢
$11.9K
70¢
$7.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$35.4K
55¢
$49.0K
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$43.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Angels$10.9K@ 99.0¢
wowfarm0x2ada…2f28
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$15.0K@ 41.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$13.8K@ 40.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels$16.6K@ 49.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$23.7K@ 52.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Seattle Mariners$50.4K
BUY VWAP 40.3¢·5 fills
0x1610…ae49Seattle Mariners$29.8K
BUY VWAP 37.6¢·5 fills
0x3dfb…abafLos Angeles Angels$16.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
wowfarmLos Angeles Angels$15.6K
BUY VWAP 98.7¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardLos Angeles Angels$14.0K
BUY VWAP 83.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.