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Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)

Sports→Settlement: Phoenix MercuryLiquidity: $35.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $214.5KEvent: Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
0.0¢
Dallas Wings payout
100.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dallas Wings · $12.1K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDallas Wings$30.8K@ 51¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Phoenix Mercury. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dallas Wings" if the Dallas Wings win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 19 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Dallas Wings" if the Dallas Wings win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Dallas Wings@ 51.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -34.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dallas Wings@ 51.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dallas Wings; negative values favor Phoenix Mercury. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDallas Wings · $0
6hDallas Wings · $52.6K
24hDallas Wings · $52.6K

Dallas Wings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dallas Wings price. Phoenix Mercury fills are converted to the complementary Dallas Wings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▼ below by 49.0pp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dallas Wings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$58.9K
45¢
$12.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$10.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDallas Wings$30.8K@ 51.3¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—1 day ago
BUYDallas Wings$10.9K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168Dallas Wings$30.8K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Dallas Wings$16.3K
BUY VWAP 49.4¢·3 fills
meoooowDallas Wings$14.4K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.