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Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska

● quote 17s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $134.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.3KEvent: Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska
54.5¢
Kaitlin Quevedo
45.5¢
Nadia Podoroska
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$28.4K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 92 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nadia Podoroska · $5.1K net·2 wallets·$5.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaitlin Quevedo$4.8K@ 56¢·xabidaking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$28.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nadia Podoroska · $5.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 92 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Nadia Podoroska in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Nadia Podoroska. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kaitlin Quevedo; negative values favor Nadia Podoroska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaitlin Quevedo · $0
6hKaitlin Quevedo · $3.4K
24hNadia Podoroska · $8.2K

Kaitlin Quevedo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kaitlin Quevedo price. Nadia Podoroska fills are converted to the complementary Kaitlin Quevedo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h55.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d55.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kaitlin Quevedo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$19.9K
50¢
← now
$8.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.