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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $260.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $288.0KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
0.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:37 trades$15.8K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1300 min agoofficial metadata 1252 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $14.1K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$55.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$20.5K@ 53¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 34.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Tampa Bay Rays1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 48.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 53.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $23.0K · 40s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $4.5K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $2.0K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $20.4K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.4¢▲ above by 45.6pp
VWAP 7d54.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$2
80¢
$2.7K
75¢
$394
70¢
$369
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$12.4K
45¢
$87.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$20.5K@ 53.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$19.6K@ 47.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$12.4K@ 50.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiPhiladelphia Phillies$29.4K
BUY VWAP 52.5¢·27 fills
ferrariChampions2026Philadelphia Phillies$20.5K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketTampa Bay Rays$19.6K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Tampa Bay Rays$12.4K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.