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Houston Astros vs. Athletics

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $435.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $139.6KEvent: Houston Astros vs. Athletics
59.5¢
Houston Astros
40.5¢
Athletics
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$59.0K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAthletics$33.8K@ 40¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Houston Astros pressure: $9.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.7K
6h
−$10.3K
tracked
$59.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Athletics · $33.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 54

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Houston Astros or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 26 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Athletics@ 41.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Astros; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $9.7K
6hAthletics · $10.3K
24hAthletics · $8.6K

Houston Astros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Astros price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Houston Astros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h60.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d60.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Astros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$57.3K
55¢
← now
$1.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHouston Astros$10.7K@ 60.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAthletics$33.8K@ 40.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Athletics$33.8K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiHouston Astros$17.7K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·18 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.