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Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $76.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.9KEvent: Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
90.0¢
England
10.0¢
Sri Lanka
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$12.2K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEngland$4.0K@ 83¢·blket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

England pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.9K
6h
−$20
tracked
$12.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: England · $76 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 68% · priority 53

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from England or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between England and Sri Lanka scheduled for September 27 2026 at 5:30 AM ET in Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: England DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $35.8K → $2.1K · 101s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor England; negative values favor Sri Lanka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEngland · $1.9K
6hSri Lanka · $20
24hEngland · $172

England price VWAP

Volume-weighted England price. Sri Lanka fills are converted to the complementary England probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current90.0¢
VWAP 24h82.1¢▲ above by 7.9pp
VWAP 7d82.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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England price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$20
85¢
$2.0K
80¢
$8.2K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$5
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.