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Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $45.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $572.5KEvent: Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
100.0¢
GamerLegion
0.1¢
Pipsqueak+4
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:135 trades$269.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:GamerLegion · $3.1K net·14 wallets·$25.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGamerLegion$35.7K@ 100¢·CyberScore.live

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Pipsqueak+4 pressure: $12.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.5K
6h
+$265
tracked
$269.9K

14 verified profitable wallets: GamerLegion · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +51.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 51.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pipsqueak+4 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Pipsqueak+4.

•This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against GamerLegion.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between GamerLegion and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Pipsqueak+4. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $49.0K gross
0xe2d0…7bbf2 linked markets · $44.2K gross
ribalka3 linked markets · $28.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY GamerLegion46m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY GamerLegion@ 49.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: GamerLegion DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $666 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GamerLegion; negative values favor Pipsqueak+4. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPipsqueak+4 · $12.5K
6hGamerLegion · $265
24hGamerLegion · $265

GamerLegion price VWAP

Volume-weighted GamerLegion price. Pipsqueak+4 fills are converted to the complementary GamerLegion probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.7¢▲ above by 30.3pp
VWAP 7d69.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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GamerLegion price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$82.1K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$6.4K
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$7.2K
60¢
$21.1K
55¢
$49.6K
50¢
$61.1K
45¢
$32.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGamerLegion$35.7K@ 99.9¢
CyberScore.live0x3413…8ff2
🐋—2 minutes ago
BUYGamerLegion$13.3K@ 53.3¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGamerLegion$10.2K@ 51.0¢
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe907…cff6GamerLegion$15.4K
BUY VWAP 49.7¢·2 fills
CORGI8Pipsqueak+4$14.7K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileGamerLegion$13.3K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·1 fill
equalsignificanceGamerLegion$12.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
0xe16d…5e30Pipsqueak+4$12.0K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.