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Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Team NemesisLiquidity: $998.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $388.0KEvent: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
100.0¢
Team Nemesis payout
0.0¢
MOUZ payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:139 trades$134.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $5.1K net·17 wallets·$18.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 55¢·0xe16d…5e30

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Nemesis. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 1 against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Team Nemesis.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Nemesis and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Team Nemesis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $45.1K gross
ribalka2 linked markets · $34.1K gross
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR2 linked markets · $13.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Nemesis1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Nemesis@ 71.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY MOUZ1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: MOUZ UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $164 → $45 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Nemesis; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $24.8K
6hMOUZ · $45.7K
24hMOUZ · $45.7K

Team Nemesis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Nemesis price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary Team Nemesis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.3¢▲ above by 35.8pp
VWAP 7d64.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Nemesis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$40.4K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.9K
65¢
$7.6K
60¢
$2.7K
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$7.1K
45¢
$32.1K
40¢
$22.8K
35¢
$7.3K
30¢
$2.7K
25¢
$825
20¢
$0
15¢
$102
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 55.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 58.3¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30MOUZ$20.1K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·3 fills
CORGI8Team Nemesis$11.5K
BUY VWAP 46.7¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.