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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Sports→Settlement: Miami MarlinsLiquidity: $280.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $415.0KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
0.0¢
Atlanta Braves payout
100.0¢
Miami Marlins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:44 trades$209.3K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 62 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Braves · $262 net·7 wallets·$33.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$39.3K@ 54¢·xifutloong3

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Miami Marlins. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 95.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 55.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 46.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 55.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Miami Marlins UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $6.5K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $4.8K
6hMiami Marlins · $133.2K
24hMiami Marlins · $175.2K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▼ below by 36.7pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1
50¢
$1
45¢
$148.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$8.3K
10¢
$49.1K
5¢
$382
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami Marlins$22.2K@ 53.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$10.7K@ 54.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$39.3K@ 54.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$32.4K@ 54.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Miami Marlins$50.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
taylorsversionMiami Marlins$41.0K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·5 fills
SDTradingMiami Marlins$37.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooMiami Marlins$22.2K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Atlanta Braves$15.9K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
dabossrealmanMiami Marlins$11.1K
BUY VWAP 78.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.