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Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova

Sports→Settlement: Rebeka MasarovaLiquidity: $618.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $367.8KEvent: Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova
0.0¢
Lisa Zaar payout
100.0¢
Rebeka Masarova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:72 trades$117.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 13s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rebeka Masarova · $5.5K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$95.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRebeka Masarova$12.3K@ 61¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rebeka Masarova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Zaar and Rebeka Masarova in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Zaar' if Lisa Zaar advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Lisa Zaar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lisa Zaar@ 40.0¢57m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Rebeka Masarova1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Rebeka Masarova1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Rebeka Masarova@ 69.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Lisa Zaar DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.3K → $37 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lisa Zaar; negative values favor Rebeka Masarova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLisa Zaar · $35.1K
6hRebeka Masarova · $12.5K
24hRebeka Masarova · $12.5K

Lisa Zaar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lisa Zaar price. Rebeka Masarova fills are converted to the complementary Lisa Zaar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.9¢▼ below by 37.9pp
VWAP 7d37.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lisa Zaar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$8.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$16
55¢
$5.0K
50¢
$4.1K
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$7.2K
35¢
$53.2K
30¢
$19.2K
25¢
$2.7K
20¢
$4.2K
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$6.0K
5¢
$449
0¢
← now
$999

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRebeka Masarova$12.3K@ 61.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Lisa Zaar$44.6K
BUY VWAP 27.3¢·12 fills
0x1610…ae49Rebeka Masarova$36.8K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·8 fills
RN1Rebeka Masarova$13.1K
BUY VWAP 65.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.