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Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova

Sports→Settlement: Fajing SunLiquidity: $177.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $692.1KEvent: Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova
100.0¢
Fajing Sun payout
0.0¢
Matthew Dellavedova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:110 trades$179.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 34 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Fajing Sun · $13.9K net·8 wallets·$68.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatthew Dellavedova$19.0K@ 51¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Fajing Sun. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Matthew Dellavedova in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Matthew Dellavedova. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Fajing Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Fajing Sun@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.0pp
Latest book event: Fajing Sun UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $470 → $1.0K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fajing Sun; negative values favor Matthew Dellavedova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatthew Dellavedova · $39.8K
6hMatthew Dellavedova · $26.6K
24hMatthew Dellavedova · $18.7K

Fajing Sun price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fajing Sun price. Matthew Dellavedova fills are converted to the complementary Fajing Sun probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.6¢▲ above by 35.4pp
VWAP 7d64.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fajing Sun price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$12.0K
70¢
$4.3K
65¢
$8.3K
60¢
$23.5K
55¢
$35.5K
50¢
$31.0K
45¢
$29.1K
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFajing Sun$17.2K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYMatthew Dellavedova$19.0K@ 51.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMatthew Dellavedova$10.0K@ 50.2¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Fajing Sun$28.3K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·6 fills
kkookkooMatthew Dellavedova$19.8K
BUY VWAP 51.2¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Matthew Dellavedova$17.2K
BUY VWAP 25.1¢·5 fills
0x0828…a1a6Fajing Sun$12.1K
BUY VWAP 64.8¢·5 fills
MarcoliMatthew Dellavedova$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.