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Plovdiv 4: Iliyan Radulov vs Pavel Lagutin

Sports→Settlement: Iliyan RadulovLiquidity: $121.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $91.6KEvent: Plovdiv 4: Iliyan Radulov vs Pavel Lagutin
100.0¢
Iliyan Radulov payout
0.0¢
Pavel Lagutin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:25 trades$34.6K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 86 min agoofficial metadata 48 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pavel Lagutin · $2.6K net·3 wallets·$3.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIliyan Radulov$7.3K@ 100¢·0xacf8…e791

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iliyan Radulov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iliyan Radulov and Pavel Lagutin in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iliyan Radulov' if Iliyan Radulov advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Iliyan Radulov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Pavel Lagutin DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $366 · 48s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iliyan Radulov; negative values favor Pavel Lagutin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPavel Lagutin · $5.6K
6hPavel Lagutin · $17.7K
24hPavel Lagutin · $17.7K

Iliyan Radulov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iliyan Radulov price. Pavel Lagutin fills are converted to the complementary Iliyan Radulov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.4¢▲ above by 32.6pp
VWAP 7d67.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iliyan Radulov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$112
80¢
$104
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$5.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$6.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$3.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.