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St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Tristan Schoolkate

Sports→Settlement: Matteo MartineauLiquidity: $793.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $328.9KEvent: St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Tristan Schoolkate
100.0¢
Matteo Martineau payout
0.0¢
Tristan Schoolkate payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:138 trades$120.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matteo Martineau · $11.1K net·19 wallets·$26.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatteo Martineau$16.9K@ 94¢·hihhe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matteo Martineau. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Tristan Schoolkate in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tristan Schoolkate DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $18 → $1 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matteo Martineau; negative values favor Tristan Schoolkate. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatteo Martineau · $11.7K
6hTristan Schoolkate · $1.9K
24hTristan Schoolkate · $1.9K

Matteo Martineau price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matteo Martineau price. Tristan Schoolkate fills are converted to the complementary Matteo Martineau probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.2¢▲ above by 31.8pp
VWAP 7d68.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matteo Martineau price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.8K
90¢
$27.9K
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$8.7K
75¢
$6.2K
70¢
$60
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.0K
55¢
$6.8K
50¢
$4.8K
45¢
$666
40¢
$12.6K
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$24.2K
25¢
$3
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMatteo Martineau$11.9K@ 99.9¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMatteo Martineau$16.9K@ 94.3¢
hihhe0x790e…55d6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMatteo Martineau$11.0K@ 92.0¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTristan Schoolkate$13.7K@ 69.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hihheMatteo Martineau$16.9K
BUY VWAP 94.3¢·1 fill
kkookkooTristan Schoolkate$13.7K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
blketMatteo Martineau$11.0K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.