Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Iowa pressure: $24.8K net directional flow in 1h.
6 verified profitable wallets: Iowa · $30.8K net over 7d.
Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.
Data confidence 90% · priority 72
Since latest market sweep: -4.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Iowa or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game by 6 or more points.
•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa".
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Michigan price VWAP
Largest holders
Michigan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.