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South Florida vs. Bowling Green

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $129.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $93.8KEvent: South Florida vs. Bowling Green
73.0¢
South Florida
27.0¢
Bowling Green
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly14Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:19 trades$9.9K trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBowling Green$8.5K@ 11¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$4
6h
−$8.5K
tracked
$9.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Bowling Green · $18 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Bowling Green" if Bowling Green win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Bowling Green, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Bowling Green" if Bowling Green win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $13.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Bowling Green DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $101 → $337 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor South Florida; negative values favor Bowling Green. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSouth Florida · $4
6hBowling Green · $8.5K
24hBowling Green · $7.2K

South Florida price VWAP

Volume-weighted South Florida price. Bowling Green fills are converted to the complementary South Florida probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.0¢
VWAP 24h89.0¢▼ below by 16.0pp
VWAP 7d89.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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South Florida price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$26
85¢
$9.8K
80¢
$4
75¢
$22
70¢
← now
$6
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.