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Spread: Penn State (-10.5)

Sports→Settlement: WisconsinLiquidity: $146.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.9KEvent: Wisconsin vs. Penn State
0.0¢
Penn State payout
100.0¢
Wisconsin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Wisconsin · $7.2K net·2 wallets·$7.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWisconsin$15.2K@ 54¢·bands1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Wisconsin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wisconsin".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
387918739841892 linked markets · $467 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Wisconsin@ 54.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Penn State; negative values favor Wisconsin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWisconsin · $5.2K
6hWisconsin · $30.5K
24hWisconsin · $39.1K

Penn State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Penn State price. Wisconsin fills are converted to the complementary Penn State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h41.5¢▼ below by 41.5pp
VWAP 7d41.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Penn State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2
55¢
$0
50¢
$27
45¢
$42.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.2K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWisconsin$15.2K@ 54.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bands1Wisconsin$23.8K
BUY VWAP 53.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.