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James Madison vs. Old Dominion

Sports→Settlement: James MadisonLiquidity: $264.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $231.6KEvent: James Madison vs. Old Dominion
100.0¢
James Madison payout
0.0¢
Old Dominion payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$2.1K trackedsource coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1389 min agoofficial metadata 1333 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:James Madison · $24.0K net·5 wallets·$24.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJames Madison$14.3K@ 69¢·Yellow-Fever

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome James Madison. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Old Dominion" if Old Dominion win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and Old Dominion, scheduled for September 26 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. This market will resolve to "Old Dominion" if Old Dominion win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xb4f9…c9a72 linked markets · $29.2K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $28.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY James Madison1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY James Madison@ 70.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY James Madison@ 70.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +14.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor James Madison; negative values favor Old Dominion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJames Madison · $2.0K
6hJames Madison · $118.2K
24hJames Madison · $141.4K

James Madison price VWAP

Volume-weighted James Madison price. Old Dominion fills are converted to the complementary James Madison probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.5¢▲ above by 30.5pp
VWAP 7d69.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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James Madison price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.1K
90¢
$456
85¢
$10
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$2
65¢
$139.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJames Madison$10.2K@ 69.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJames Madison$11.4K@ 69.0¢
chanello0xf3a6…71bd
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJames Madison$11.4K@ 69.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJames Madison$12.1K@ 69.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJames Madison$14.3K@ 69.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooJames Madison$42.3K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·7 fills
Yellow-FeverJames Madison$14.3K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardJames Madison$13.1K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·2 fills
chanelloJames Madison$11.4K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
PainfulvoidJames Madison$11.4K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.