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Texas A&M vs. LSU

● quote 51s ago
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $148.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $123.9KEvent: Texas A&M vs. LSU
24.5¢
Texas A&M
75.5¢
LSU
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:10 trades$28.1K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 609 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas A&M$16.1K@ 24¢·wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$28.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 609 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.

•This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Texas A&M and LSU, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas A&M@ 25.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texas A&M; negative values favor LSU. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexas A&M · $0
6hTexas A&M · $0
24hTexas A&M · $28.1K

Texas A&M price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texas A&M price. LSU fills are converted to the complementary Texas A&M probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current24.5¢
VWAP 24h24.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d24.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Texas A&M price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$3
20¢
← now
$28.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas A&M$16.1K@ 24.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rTexas A&M$27.9K
BUY VWAP 24.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.