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Troy vs. Utah State

Sports→Settlement: Utah StateLiquidity: $181.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $229.9KEvent: Troy vs. Utah State
0.0¢
Troy payout
100.0¢
Utah State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:81 trades$55.9K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1234 min agoofficial metadata 1188 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Utah State · $11.2K net·8 wallets·$31.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUtah State$13.3K@ 58¢·phonesculptor

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Utah State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $25.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Utah State UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $73.9K → $2.8K · 57s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Troy; negative values favor Utah State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTroy · $1
6hTroy · $19.7K
24hTroy · $4.0K

Troy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Troy price. Utah State fills are converted to the complementary Troy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h40.3¢▼ below by 40.3pp
VWAP 7d40.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Troy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.7K
55¢
$11.3K
50¢
$221
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$54.4K
35¢
$106
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$6.2K
20¢
$295
15¢
$4
10¢
$13
5¢
$6.0K
0¢
← now
$2

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTroy$10.8K@ 43.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—1 day ago
BUYUtah State$13.3K@ 58.0¢
phonesculptor0xf152…64aa
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KaneAnalyticsTroy$21.2K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardUtah State$21.1K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·8 fills
phonesculptorUtah State$13.3K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rTroy$10.8K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.