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Spread: Florida Atlantic (-13.5)

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $117.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $107.6KEvent: Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe
46.5¢
Florida Atlantic
53.5¢
Louisiana-Monroe
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$55.6K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 337 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLouisiana-Monroe$20.9K@ 54¢·Elaran1993

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$4
tracked
$55.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Louisiana-Monroe · $44.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 337 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Florida Atlantic win the game by 14 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Louisiana-Monroe".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Florida Atlantic win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Louisiana-Monroe". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Louisiana-Monroe@ 55.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Louisiana-Monroe@ 53.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florida Atlantic; negative values favor Louisiana-Monroe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlorida Atlantic · $0
6hLouisiana-Monroe · $4
24hLouisiana-Monroe · $38.4K

Florida Atlantic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florida Atlantic price. Louisiana-Monroe fills are converted to the complementary Florida Atlantic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h46.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d46.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florida Atlantic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$55.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLouisiana-Monroe$16.5K@ 55.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLouisiana-Monroe$20.9K@ 54.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Elaran1993Louisiana-Monroe$44.9K
BUY VWAP 54.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.