PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Justin Boulais

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $751.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Justin Boulais
100.0¢
Harold Mayot
0.1¢
Justin Boulais
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets27Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 23 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:266 trades$441.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Harold Mayot · $97.0K net·23 wallets(2🐋)·$358.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHarold Mayot$23.9K@ 90¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Harold Mayot pressure: $72.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$72.2K
6h
+$116.8K
tracked
$441.6K

23 verified profitable wallets: Harold Mayot · $97.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Harold Mayot or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Justin Boulais in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Justin Boulais. This market will resolve to 'Justin Boulais' if Justin Boulais advances against Harold Mayot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Harold Mayot@ 84.0¢44m ago
15m INVALIDATED -32.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Harold Mayot@ 84.0¢53m ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Harold Mayot2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Harold Mayot@ 78.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -37.0pp
Latest book event: Harold Mayot UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $24.0K → $3.4K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Harold Mayot; negative values favor Justin Boulais. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHarold Mayot · $72.2K
6hHarold Mayot · $116.8K
24hHarold Mayot · $116.8K

Harold Mayot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Harold Mayot price. Justin Boulais fills are converted to the complementary Harold Mayot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.5¢▲ above by 25.4pp
VWAP 7d74.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Harold Mayot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.5K
90¢
$114.0K
85¢
$31.6K
80¢
$38.4K
75¢
$58.1K
70¢
$25.4K
65¢
$16.5K
60¢
$45.4K
55¢
$23.9K
50¢
$22.1K
45¢
$22.7K
40¢
$8.4K
35¢
$4.7K
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$5.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHarold Mayot$18.0K@ 97.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYHarold Mayot$19.1K@ 92.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYHarold Mayot$15.6K@ 91.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLHarold Mayot$20.9K@ 90.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLHarold Mayot$23.9K@ 90.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYHarold Mayot$16.5K@ 63.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—37 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
41.5¢$1.3Mpriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$800.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
0.1¢$741.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
56.5¢$429.7Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpHarold Mayot$119.8K
BUY VWAP 78.5¢·40 fills
fkcvffcjtHarold Mayot$33.9K
BUY VWAP 49.4¢·4 fills
TRCMHarold Mayot$33.9K
BUY VWAP 72.2¢·12 fills
RN1Harold Mayot$20.1K
BUY VWAP 77.4¢·11 fills
flatbarrelHarold Mayot$19.0K
BUY VWAP 67.1¢·7 fills
flatbarrelJustin Boulais$14.6K
BUY VWAP 41.1¢·7 fills
ferrariChampions2026Justin Boulais$14.4K
BUY VWAP 26.9¢·8 fills
SchruteBucksHarold Mayot$12.8K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·8 fills
FlaznorpJustin Boulais$11.5K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.