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Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch

Sports→Settlement: Carlo Alberto CaniatoLiquidity: $151.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $279.9KEvent: Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
100.0¢
Carlo Alberto Caniato payout
0.0¢
Tom Gentzsch payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:129 trades$71.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 77 min agoofficial metadata 59 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carlo Alberto Caniato · $7.7K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$20.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarlo Alberto Caniato$10.7K@ 46¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Tom Gentzsch in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tom Gentzsch DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $18 → $38 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Carlo Alberto Caniato; negative values favor Tom Gentzsch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTom Gentzsch · $4.5K
6hTom Gentzsch · $17.7K
24hTom Gentzsch · $17.7K

Carlo Alberto Caniato price VWAP

Volume-weighted Carlo Alberto Caniato price. Tom Gentzsch fills are converted to the complementary Carlo Alberto Caniato probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.7¢▲ above by 42.3pp
VWAP 7d57.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Carlo Alberto Caniato price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$0
75¢
$12
70¢
$5.5K
65¢
$979
60¢
$0
55¢
$73
50¢
$7.6K
45¢
$24.3K
40¢
$14.5K
35¢
$2.7K
30¢
$310
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCarlo Alberto Caniato$10.7K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTom Gentzsch$10.6K@ 59.1¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

watcherz88Tom Gentzsch$11.0K
BUY VWAP 52.4¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Carlo Alberto Caniato$10.7K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooTom Gentzsch$10.6K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.