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Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)

Sports→Settlement: CommandersLiquidity: $333.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $838.2KEvent: Seahawks vs. Commanders
0.0¢
Seahawks payout
100.0¢
Commanders payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:36 trades$399.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 159 min agoofficial metadata 106 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Commanders · $78.2K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$115.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$233.3K@ 48¢·Tiger200

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Commanders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 9 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Commanders, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz265 linked markets · $230.2K gross
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $164.7K gross
HomeRunHazard10 linked markets · $137.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Seahawks@ 48.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 48.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -30.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Commanders@ 53.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Seahawks DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $6.6K → $175 · 65s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeahawks · $5.2K
6hSeahawks · $161.1K
24hSeahawks · $176.1K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.3¢▼ below by 47.3pp
VWAP 7d47.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$15.0K
45¢
$371.2K
40¢
$7.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.2K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$233.3K@ 48.0¢
Tiger2000x6211…b89e
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYCommanders$83.7K@ 52.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Tiger200Seahawks$233.3K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
Kch-TempCommanders$83.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardSeahawks$12.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
quavooSeahawks$11.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.