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Spread: Bengals (-5.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 29 minutesLiquidity: $56.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $169.2KEvent: Bengals vs. Steelers
38.0¢
Bengals
62.0¢
Steelers
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$75.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bengals · $10.4K net·3 wallets·$19.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBengals$12.0K@ 42¢·0xd3a0…f136

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Bengals SETUP
What the tape says

Bengals pressure: $7.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.7K
6h
+$19.2K
tracked
$75.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: Bengals · $10.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 56

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bengals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bengals" if the Bengals win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Steelers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bengals and Steelers, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bengals" if the Bengals win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Steelers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $164.1K gross
HomeRunHazard7 linked markets · $121.4K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r4 linked markets · $99.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bengals; negative values favor Steelers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBengals · $7.7K
6hBengals · $19.2K
24hBengals · $38.1K

Bengals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bengals price. Steelers fills are converted to the complementary Bengals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.0¢
VWAP 24h41.3¢▼ below by 3.3pp
VWAP 7d41.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bengals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$75.7K
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBengals$12.0K@ 42.0¢0xd3a0…f136🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd3a0…f136Bengals$12.0K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.