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Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal

Sports→Settlement: NepalLiquidity: $25.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $109.4KEvent: Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal
0.0¢
Afghanistan payout
100.0¢
Nepal payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:71 trades$16.1K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 47 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nepal · $208 net·7 wallets·$776 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNepal$3.5K@ 100¢·0xda33…dacc

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nepal. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-02 05:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Afghanistan and Nepal scheduled for September 25 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in Asian Games Men. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nepal UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $7.3K → $8.5K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Afghanistan; negative values favor Nepal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAfghanistan · $3.6K
6hAfghanistan · $2.8K
24hAfghanistan · $7.7K

Afghanistan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Afghanistan price. Nepal fills are converted to the complementary Afghanistan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h26.3¢▼ below by 26.3pp
VWAP 7d26.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Afghanistan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$141
40¢
$187
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$492
25¢
$271
20¢
$31
15¢
$65
10¢
$355
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$8.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.