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Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Team LynxLiquidity: $185.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $165.7KEvent: Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
0.0¢
Kalmychata payout
100.0¢
Team Lynx payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:196 trades$40.0K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 94 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Lynx · $71 net·11 wallets·$8.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Lynx$2.7K@ 100¢·chw7951

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Lynx. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-24 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win Game 1 against Team Lynx.

•This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win Game 1 against Kalmychata.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Kalmychata and Team Lynx in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win Game 1 against Team Lynx. This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win Game 1 against Kalmychata. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
nomoredream2 linked markets · $11.9K gross
0xbfab…f0672 linked markets · $5.7K gross
0xbed3…fbe22 linked markets · $4.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Lynx UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $87 → $87 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kalmychata; negative values favor Team Lynx. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKalmychata · $2.3K
6hTeam Lynx · $2.0K
24hTeam Lynx · $2.0K

Kalmychata price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kalmychata price. Team Lynx fills are converted to the complementary Kalmychata probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.3¢▼ below by 35.3pp
VWAP 7d35.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kalmychata price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$586
65¢
$2.4K
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$19.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$171
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$222
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$15.6K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.