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Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets

● quote 37s ago
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $73.8KEvent: Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets
39.5¢
Maple Leafs
60.5¢
Blue Jackets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection66Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$34.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBlue Jackets$14.4K@ 60¢·taylorsversion

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Blue Jackets SETUP
What the tape says

Blue Jackets pressure: $22.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.5K
6h
−$22.5K
tracked
$34.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Maple Leafs · $160 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Blue Jackets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

•If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Blue Jackets@ 61.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maple Leafs; negative values favor Blue Jackets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBlue Jackets · $22.5K
6hBlue Jackets · $22.5K
24hBlue Jackets · $23.9K

Maple Leafs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maple Leafs price. Blue Jackets fills are converted to the complementary Maple Leafs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h40.3¢▼ below by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d40.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maple Leafs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$34.2K
35¢
← now
$2
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBlue Jackets$14.4K@ 60.0¢
taylorsversion0xb9c7…aade
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

taylorsversionBlue Jackets$24.9K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.