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M25 Pardubice: Claus Piening vs Kalin Ivanovski

Sports→Settlement: Claus PieningLiquidity: $9.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $91.4KEvent: M25 Pardubice: Claus Piening vs Kalin Ivanovski
100.0¢
Claus Piening payout
0.0¢
Kalin Ivanovski payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:20 trades$20.9K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 177 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kalin Ivanovski · $102 net·2 wallets·$102 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYClaus Piening$2.7K@ 58¢·yesmate

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Claus Piening. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-01 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Claus Piening and Kalin Ivanovski in the M25 Pardubice, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claus Piening' if Claus Piening advances against Kalin Ivanovski. This market will resolve to 'Kalin Ivanovski' if Kalin Ivanovski advances against Claus Piening. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Claus Piening; negative values favor Kalin Ivanovski. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hClaus Piening · $0
6hClaus Piening · $11.5K
24hClaus Piening · $11.5K

Claus Piening price VWAP

Volume-weighted Claus Piening price. Kalin Ivanovski fills are converted to the complementary Claus Piening probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.7¢▲ above by 37.3pp
VWAP 7d62.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Claus Piening price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$82
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$7.7K
55¢
$8.6K
50¢
$22
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.