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San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $64.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $331.2KEvent: San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade
60.5¢
Darwin Blanch
39.5¢
Andres Andrade
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution66Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:199 trades$139.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Darwin Blanch · $17.3K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$51.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDarwin Blanch$18.2K@ 71¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Darwin Blanch pressure: $22.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.7K
6h
+$57.8K
tracked
$139.2K

12 verified profitable wallets: Darwin Blanch · $17.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 49

Since latest market sweep: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Darwin Blanch or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Andres Andrade in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Darwin Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Darwin Blanch@ 57.0¢17m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Darwin Blanch@ 68.0¢50m ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Darwin Blanch@ 85.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -37.0pp
Latest book event: Andres Andrade DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $8.9K → $575 · 40s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Darwin Blanch; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDarwin Blanch · $22.7K
6hDarwin Blanch · $57.8K
24hDarwin Blanch · $57.8K

Darwin Blanch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Darwin Blanch price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary Darwin Blanch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h66.1¢▼ below by 5.6pp
VWAP 7d66.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Darwin Blanch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$424
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$12.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$22.3K
65¢
$32.9K
60¢
← now
$22.1K
55¢
$28.4K
50¢
$11.5K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDarwin Blanch$10.7K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDarwin Blanch$10.0K@ 67.8¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDarwin Blanch$18.2K@ 70.8¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesDarwin Blanch$22.9K
BUY VWAP 76.2¢·25 fills
kkookkooDarwin Blanch$18.2K
BUY VWAP 70.8¢·1 fill
RunemupDarwin Blanch$13.5K
BUY VWAP 65.7¢·2 fills
RN1Darwin Blanch$10.9K
BUY VWAP 53.7¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Darwin Blanch$10.7K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.