PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.8KEvent: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
95.0¢
PARIVISION
5.0¢
Level UP
6.0¢
Spread
anomaly15Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution77Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$31.0K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPARIVISION$22.4K@ 83¢·ColdBlooded

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$137
6h
+$23.2K
tracked
$31.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Level UP · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
6.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 40 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 6.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 12.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION wins 2 or more games than Level UP in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Level UP".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Level UP in the BLAST Slam Group A, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION wins 2 or more games than Level UP in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Level UP". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ColdBlooded2 linked markets · $28.8K gross
0x9e28…9f922 linked markets · $239 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY PARIVISION@ 86.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: Level UP UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $0 → $56 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PARIVISION; negative values favor Level UP. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPARIVISION · $137
6hPARIVISION · $23.2K
24hPARIVISION · $23.2K

PARIVISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted PARIVISION price. Level UP fills are converted to the complementary PARIVISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current95.0¢
VWAP 24h83.2¢▲ above by 11.8pp
VWAP 7d83.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

PARIVISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$2
85¢
$144
80¢
$30.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPARIVISION$22.4K@ 83.0¢
ColdBlooded0xbcc3…ac9c
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
47.5¢$1.4Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$434.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ColdBloodedPARIVISION$26.9K
BUY VWAP 83.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.