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Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston

Sports→Settlement: Hugo GastonLiquidity: $791.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $660.0KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston
0.0¢
Jaime Faria payout
100.0¢
Hugo Gaston payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:211 trades$224.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jaime Faria · $5.8K net·19 wallets·$57.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJaime Faria$25.0K@ 63¢·ORI-

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hugo Gaston. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-02 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Hugo Gaston in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Jaime Faria@ 43.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Jaime Faria3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jaime Faria@ 63.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp
Latest book event: Hugo Gaston UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $40 → $3.9K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaime Faria; negative values favor Hugo Gaston. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $41.1K
6hJaime Faria · $387
24hJaime Faria · $387

Jaime Faria price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaime Faria price. Hugo Gaston fills are converted to the complementary Jaime Faria probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h32.9¢▼ below by 32.9pp
VWAP 7d32.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaime Faria price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$506
75¢
$10.6K
70¢
$4
65¢
$2.2K
60¢
$43.7K
55¢
$880
50¢
$9.2K
45¢
$13.5K
40¢
$20.8K
35¢
$14.4K
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$30
20¢
$5.3K
15¢
$7.8K
10¢
$36.7K
5¢
$26.7K
0¢
← now
$29.9K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHugo Gaston$13.6K@ 90.5¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHugo Gaston$17.8K@ 89.0¢0xbadd…e097🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJaime Faria$25.0K@ 63.3¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ORI-Jaime Faria$25.0K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Jaime Faria$21.7K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·6 fills
0xbadd…e097Hugo Gaston$17.8K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
177-letsgoHugo Gaston$13.6K
BUY VWAP 90.5¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cHugo Gaston$11.0K
BUY VWAP 47.1¢·13 fills
KioskJammerHugo Gaston$10.5K
BUY VWAP 82.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.