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Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $84.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $621.8KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin
25.5¢
Quentin Halys
74.5¢
Roman Safiullin
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution67Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 26 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:284 trades$228.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Roman Safiullin · $16.3K net·26 wallets(1🐋)·$73.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLRoman Safiullin$15.7K@ 76¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Quentin Halys pressure: $13.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.9K
6h
+$25.1K
tracked
$228.4K

26 verified profitable wallets: Roman Safiullin · $16.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 43

Since latest large flow: -29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Quentin Halys or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Roman Safiullin in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Roman Safiullin. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Quentin Halys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Quentin Halys1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Quentin Halys1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Quentin Halys@ 55.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +25.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Quentin Halys@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +27.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Quentin Halys DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.6K → $5.7K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Quentin Halys; negative values favor Roman Safiullin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hQuentin Halys · $13.9K
6hQuentin Halys · $25.1K
24hQuentin Halys · $15.1K

Quentin Halys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Quentin Halys price. Roman Safiullin fills are converted to the complementary Quentin Halys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current25.5¢
VWAP 24h49.5¢▼ below by 24.0pp
VWAP 7d49.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Quentin Halys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$988
75¢
$33.1K
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$609
60¢
$26
55¢
$29.9K
50¢
$44.2K
45¢
$44.6K
40¢
$31.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$57
25¢
← now
$2.1K
20¢
$34.6K
15¢
$5.6K
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRoman Safiullin$15.3K@ 77.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLRoman Safiullin$15.7K@ 76.3¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYQuentin Halys$11.0K@ 52.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYQuentin Halys$12.9K@ 50.0¢
bigbankmoney0x3f76…436a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYQuentin Halys$10.0K@ 49.5¢
bigbankmoney0x3f76…436a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bigbankmoneyQuentin Halys$22.9K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·2 fills
0xc323…0077Quentin Halys$21.1K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·4 fills
0xc323…0077Roman Safiullin$18.6K
BUY VWAP 21.4¢·5 fills
UpTheBluesRoman Safiullin$14.7K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·27 fills
ferrariChampions2026Roman Safiullin$10.7K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.