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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Dota 2Settlement: AuroraLiquidity: $523.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $962.4KEvent: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
100.0¢
Aurora payout
0.0¢
Team Yandex payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex$18.2K@ 76¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aurora. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-25 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Yandex.

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Aurora.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Aurora and Team Yandex in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 25d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 25d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Aurora25d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Aurora@ 67.0¢25d ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora; negative values favor Team Yandex. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora · $26.2K
6hTeam Yandex · $14.1K
24hTeam Yandex · $14.1K

Aurora price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora price. Team Yandex fills are converted to the complementary Aurora probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.2¢▲ above by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d61.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$52.3K
90¢
$7.1K
85¢
$43.3K
80¢
$35.1K
75¢
$11.2K
70¢
$3.6K
65¢
$9.8K
60¢
$9.8K
55¢
$13.4K
50¢
$39.6K
45¢
$12.9K
40¢
$5.8K
35¢
$15.2K
30¢
$37.6K
25¢
$36.1K
20¢
$26.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Yandex$18.2K@ 75.9¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—25 days ago
BUYTeam Yandex$11.3K@ 70.7¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—25 days ago
BUYTeam Yandex$10.0K@ 69.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—25 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.