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Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $263.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.4KEvent: Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
52.5¢
Jenson Brooksby
47.5¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$37.4K trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJenson Brooksby$9.5K@ 54¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jenson Brooksby pressure: $3.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.2K
6h
+$2.4K
tracked
$37.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Jenson Brooksby · $3.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jenson Brooksby or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jenson Brooksby. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nikoloz Basilashvili@ 48.0¢45m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jenson Brooksby; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJenson Brooksby · $3.2K
6hJenson Brooksby · $2.4K
24hJenson Brooksby · $2.4K

Jenson Brooksby price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jenson Brooksby price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Jenson Brooksby probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d52.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jenson Brooksby price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
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65¢
$0
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55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$37.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

askilikaNikoloz Basilashvili$16.0K
BUY VWAP 47.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.