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Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet

Sports→Settlement: Kyrian JacquetLiquidity: $884.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $342.2KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet
0.0¢
Fabian Marozsan payout
100.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:174 trades$104.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kyrian Jacquet · $47.8K net·18 wallets(1🐋)·$68.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKyrian Jacquet$10.9K@ 70¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kyrian Jacquet. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Kyrian Jacquet in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Kyrian Jacquet. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kyrian Jacquet1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Kyrian Jacquet1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Kyrian Jacquet@ 71.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Kyrian Jacquet@ 76.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Kyrian Jacquet UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $15.3K → $392 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fabian Marozsan; negative values favor Kyrian Jacquet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyrian Jacquet · $10.0K
6hKyrian Jacquet · $36.7K
24hKyrian Jacquet · $31.8K

Fabian Marozsan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fabian Marozsan price. Kyrian Jacquet fills are converted to the complementary Fabian Marozsan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.5¢▼ below by 31.5pp
VWAP 7d31.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fabian Marozsan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$132
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$11.0K
50¢
$15.9K
45¢
$425
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$40.2K
25¢
$4.7K
20¢
$4.3K
15¢
$3.4K
10¢
$6.2K
5¢
$9.9K
0¢
← now
$5.7K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKyrian Jacquet$10.4K@ 70.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKyrian Jacquet$10.9K@ 70.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKyrian Jacquet$10.1K@ 70.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Kyrian Jacquet$31.4K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·3 fills
FlaznorpKyrian Jacquet$10.0K
BUY VWAP 81.3¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.