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Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $155.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $490.2KEvent: Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska
98.7¢
Leylah Fernandez
1.4¢
Maja Chwalinska
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:165 trades$234.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maja Chwalinska · $3.6K net·9 wallets·$16.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLeylah Fernandez$39.0K@ 83¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Maja Chwalinska pressure: $24.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.0K
6h
−$4.5K
tracked
$234.6K

9 verified profitable wallets: Maja Chwalinska · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +55.8pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 55.8pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maja Chwalinska or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Maja Chwalinska in the Singapore Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Maja Chwalinska. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 43.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h CONFIRMED +36.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Maja Chwalinska@ 74.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
Latest book event: Maja Chwalinska DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $21.6K → $16.1K · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leylah Fernandez; negative values favor Maja Chwalinska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaja Chwalinska · $24.0K
6hMaja Chwalinska · $4.5K
24hMaja Chwalinska · $4.5K

Leylah Fernandez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leylah Fernandez price. Maja Chwalinska fills are converted to the complementary Leylah Fernandez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.7¢
VWAP 24h50.4¢▲ above by 48.3pp
VWAP 7d50.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leylah Fernandez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.9K
90¢
$4.2K
85¢
$506
80¢
$40.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.2K
65¢
$93
60¢
$0
55¢
$20.4K
50¢
$44.0K
45¢
$18.0K
40¢
$22.6K
35¢
$8.6K
30¢
$21.6K
25¢
$5.0K
20¢
$38.0K
15¢
$2.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLeylah Fernandez$39.0K@ 83.3¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$22.3K@ 50.8¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$10.0K@ 30.3¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMaja Chwalinska$11.5K@ 77.0¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMaja Chwalinska$12.8K@ 78.0¢0x20f4…15e1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMaja Chwalinska$11.5K@ 57.4¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HectorHuangLeylah Fernandez$22.3K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·1 fill
0x20f4…15e1Maja Chwalinska$20.0K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·3 fills
AntblackLeylah Fernandez$19.5K
BUY VWAP 30.8¢·2 fills
AGUGavaMaja Chwalinska$11.5K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·1 fill
AGUGavaLeylah Fernandez$10.1K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.