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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $41.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $784.3KEvent: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
44.0¢
Xtreme Gaming
56.0¢
GamerLegion
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 27 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:337 trades$335.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:GamerLegion · $6.9K net·27 wallets(1🐋)·$67.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGamerLegion$12.9K@ 43¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Xtreme Gaming pressure: $22.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.0K
6h
+$23.0K
tracked
$335.8K

27 verified profitable wallets: GamerLegion · $6.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 86% · priority 45

Since latest market sweep: -5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Xtreme Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against GamerLegion.

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and GamerLegion in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $53.0K gross
0xe2d0…7bbf2 linked markets · $34.8K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $29.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY GamerLegion@ 63.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY GamerLegion18m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY GamerLegion@ 21.0¢30m ago
15m CONFIRMED +33.0pp
Latest book event: GamerLegion DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $3.2K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Xtreme Gaming; negative values favor GamerLegion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hXtreme Gaming · $22.0K
6hXtreme Gaming · $23.0K
24hXtreme Gaming · $23.0K

Xtreme Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Xtreme Gaming price. GamerLegion fills are converted to the complementary Xtreme Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.0¢
VWAP 24h57.0¢▼ below by 13.0pp
VWAP 7d57.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Xtreme Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$8.8K
80¢
$16.9K
75¢
$13.0K
70¢
$1.2K
65¢
$7.1K
60¢
$42.5K
55¢
$105.2K
50¢
$82.4K
45¢
$22.1K
40¢
← now
$17.0K
35¢
$10.7K
30¢
$4.9K
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYXtreme Gaming$11.5K@ 53.9¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYXtreme Gaming$12.1K@ 54.0¢
GEAEW0x88c3…bea3
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYGamerLegion$12.9K@ 43.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—44 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eGamerLegion$18.2K
BUY VWAP 41.9¢·4 fills
0xe16d…5e30GamerLegion$16.5K
BUY VWAP 43.3¢·9 fills
GEAEWXtreme Gaming$12.1K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0xe2d0…7bbfXtreme Gaming$11.5K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·1 fill
MedoD3PGamerLegion$10.8K
BUY VWAP 37.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.