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LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $44.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $286.5KEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
0.1¢
Dplus KIA Challengers
100.0¢
DN SOOPers Challengers
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection39Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:265 trades$111.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:DN SOOPers Challengers · $11.7K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$19.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers Challengers$13.6K@ 100¢·dxionseansei

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

DN SOOPers Challengers pressure: $35.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$35.2K
6h
−$28.4K
tracked
$111.7K

15 verified profitable wallets: DN SOOPers Challengers · $11.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from DN SOOPers Challengers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

•This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lucas1tb5 linked markets · $111.7K gross
Sisyphus.5 linked markets · $71.8K gross
dxionseansei3 linked markets · $32.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: DN SOOPers Challengers UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $411 → $438 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dplus KIA Challengers; negative values favor DN SOOPers Challengers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDN SOOPers Challengers · $35.2K
6hDN SOOPers Challengers · $28.4K
24hDN SOOPers Challengers · $28.4K

Dplus KIA Challengers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dplus KIA Challengers price. DN SOOPers Challengers fills are converted to the complementary Dplus KIA Challengers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h37.8¢▼ below by 37.7pp
VWAP 7d37.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dplus KIA Challengers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$5.6K
70¢
$3.8K
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$22.6K
50¢
$9.4K
45¢
$3.1K
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$2.2K
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$20
20¢
$192
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$3.5K
5¢
$3.5K
0¢
← now
$45.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDN SOOPers Challengers$13.6K@ 99.9¢
dxionseansei0xcf76…ba2b
🐋—1 minute ago
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers$10.0K@ 98.9¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers$11.0K@ 41.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cDN SOOPers Challengers$11.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
Lucas1tbDN SOOPers Challengers$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.