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LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $274.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $317.1KEvent: LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
100.0¢
T1 Academy
0.1¢
Cupid Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:125 trades$151.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 Academy · $10.3K net·6 wallets·$12.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1 Academy$20.9K@ 99¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

T1 Academy pressure: $49.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$49.2K
6h
+$62.2K
tracked
$151.0K

6 verified profitable wallets: T1 Academy · $10.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from T1 Academy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 4 against Cupid Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win Game 4 against T1 Academy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between T1 Academy and Cupid Esports in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 4 against Cupid Esports. This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win Game 4 against T1 Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sisyphus.4 linked markets · $53.5K gross
Lucas1tb2 linked markets · $51.1K gross
0x28f5…04502 linked markets · $45.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1 Academy; negative values favor Cupid Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 Academy · $49.2K
6hT1 Academy · $62.2K
24hT1 Academy · $62.2K

T1 Academy price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 Academy price. Cupid Esports fills are converted to the complementary T1 Academy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.7¢▲ above by 10.2pp
VWAP 7d89.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 Academy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$88.4K
90¢
$5.4K
85¢
$6.6K
80¢
$24.4K
75¢
$7.8K
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$6.1K
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.1K
40¢
$156
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$3
10¢
$12
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLT1 Academy$12.2K@ 99.9¢0x4b86…e382🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYT1 Academy$13.4K@ 99.9¢
c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A460x14f1…4a46
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYT1 Academy$20.9K@ 99.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—33 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.T1 Academy$20.9K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A46T1 Academy$13.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.