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LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 3 Winner

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $445.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $403.4KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
0.1¢
KT Rolster Challengers
100.0¢
Galions
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:191 trades$142.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Galions · $7.4K net·10 wallets·$10.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGalions$14.8K@ 99¢·0xd016…6114

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Galions pressure: $8.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.1K
6h
−$5.4K
tracked
$142.5K

10 verified profitable wallets: Galions · $7.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Galions or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win Game 3 against Galions.

•This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 3 against KT Rolster Challengers.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between KT Rolster Challengers and Galions in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win Game 3 against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 3 against KT Rolster Challengers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4b86…e3822 linked markets · $45.1K gross
Lucas1tb3 linked markets · $37.1K gross
0xd016…61142 linked markets · $30.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Galions UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $5.7K → $12.5K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster Challengers; negative values favor Galions. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGalions · $8.1K
6hGalions · $5.4K
24hGalions · $2.7K

KT Rolster Challengers price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster Challengers price. Galions fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster Challengers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h31.0¢▼ below by 31.0pp
VWAP 7d31.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster Challengers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$46.2K
50¢
$16.4K
45¢
$222
40¢
$2.7K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$5
15¢
$0
10¢
$8.4K
5¢
$2.4K
0¢
← now
$57.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGalions$14.8K@ 99.0¢0xd016…6114🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster Challengers$13.0K@ 59.6¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd016…6114Galions$14.8K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
Jer-PredictKT Rolster Challengers$13.0K
BUY VWAP 59.6¢·1 fill
johnbasterGalions$11.1K
BUY VWAP 94.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.