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Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena

● quote 5 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $59.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $170.4KEvent: Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena
0.2¢
Pedro Boscardin Dias
99.9¢
Facundo Mena
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution23Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$48.8K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pedro Boscardin Dias · $4.7K net·7 wallets·$13.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPedro Boscardin Dias$5.0K@ 45¢·ORI-

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Pedro Boscardin Dias pressure: $7.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.7K
6h
+$16.0K
tracked
$48.8K

7 verified profitable wallets: Pedro Boscardin Dias · $4.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pedro Boscardin Dias or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pedro Boscardin Dias; negative values favor Facundo Mena. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPedro Boscardin Dias · $7.7K
6hPedro Boscardin Dias · $16.0K
24hPedro Boscardin Dias · $16.0K

Pedro Boscardin Dias price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pedro Boscardin Dias price. Facundo Mena fills are converted to the complementary Pedro Boscardin Dias probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.2¢
VWAP 24h31.6¢▼ below by 31.4pp
VWAP 7d31.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pedro Boscardin Dias price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$4.7K
50¢
$3.2K
45¢
$8.9K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$4.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$1.1K
0¢
← now
$9.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.