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San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $205.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $367.0KEvent: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich
100.0¢
Nishesh Basavareddy
0.1¢
Dylan Dietrich
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets77Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:236 trades$110.5K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nishesh Basavareddy · $12.0K net·7 wallets·$15.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNishesh Basavareddy$24.0K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dylan Dietrich pressure: $22.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.6K
6h
−$15.1K
tracked
$110.5K

7 verified profitable wallets: Nishesh Basavareddy · $12.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dylan Dietrich or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Dylan Dietrich in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Dylan Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Dylan Dietrich' if Dylan Dietrich advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nishesh Basavareddy UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $9.0K → $9.8K · 44s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nishesh Basavareddy; negative values favor Dylan Dietrich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDylan Dietrich · $22.6K
6hDylan Dietrich · $15.1K
24hDylan Dietrich · $13.8K

Nishesh Basavareddy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nishesh Basavareddy price. Dylan Dietrich fills are converted to the complementary Nishesh Basavareddy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.8¢▲ above by 28.1pp
VWAP 7d71.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nishesh Basavareddy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$33.5K
90¢
$3.2K
85¢
$452
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$8.2K
70¢
$4.7K
65¢
$10.3K
60¢
$14.8K
55¢
$6.0K
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$13.9K
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$2.4K
25¢
$530
20¢
$764
15¢
$25
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNishesh Basavareddy$24.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—11 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesDylan Dietrich$11.2K
BUY VWAP 57.3¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.