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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $113.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $534.1KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
27.5¢
Boston Red Sox
72.5¢
New York Yankees
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:281 trades$206.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $29.8K net·12 wallets(4🐋)·$92.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$23.9K@ 54¢·0x819d…07f1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

New York Yankees pressure: $19.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.7K
6h
+$32.7K
tracked
$206.6K

12 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $29.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: -18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New York Yankees or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 29 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $47.6K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $9.3K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $2.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 46.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 45.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Boston Red Sox UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $159 → $415 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor New York Yankees. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $19.7K
6hBoston Red Sox · $32.7K
24hBoston Red Sox · $43.6K

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. New York Yankees fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.5¢
VWAP 24h44.2¢▼ below by 16.7pp
VWAP 7d44.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$172.8K
40¢
$7.6K
35¢
$158
30¢
$21.7K
25¢
← now
$5.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees$12.2K@ 55.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$12.2K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNew York Yankees$23.9K@ 54.0¢0x819d…07f1🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$20.7K@ 46.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$19.4K@ 45.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$10.9K@ 45.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiBoston Red Sox$41.3K
BUY VWAP 45.8¢·145 fills
0x819d…07f1New York Yankees$23.9K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Boston Red Sox$19.4K
BUY VWAP 45.6¢·2 fills
maz26Boston Red Sox$19.4K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtNew York Yankees$19.4K
BUY VWAP 54.6¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Boston Red Sox$12.2K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills
FlamePyroNew York Yankees$10.3K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.