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Hangzhou Open: Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $99.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $100.5KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu
52.5¢
Roman Safiullin
47.5¢
Yunchaokete Bu
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly20Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$45.9K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRoman Safiullin$22.9K@ 53¢·HectorHuang

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$280
6h
+$31.4K
tracked
$45.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Yunchaokete Bu · $4.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Yunchaokete Bu in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Yunchaokete Bu. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Roman Safiullin@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Roman Safiullin; negative values favor Yunchaokete Bu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRoman Safiullin · $280
6hRoman Safiullin · $31.4K
24hRoman Safiullin · $32.9K

Roman Safiullin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Roman Safiullin price. Yunchaokete Bu fills are converted to the complementary Roman Safiullin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d52.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Roman Safiullin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$45.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRoman Safiullin$22.9K@ 52.8¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HectorHuangRoman Safiullin$30.0K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.