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Columbus: Nicolas Oliveira vs Li Tu

Sports→Settlement: Li TuLiquidity: $85.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $82.2KEvent: Columbus: Nicolas Oliveira vs Li Tu
0.0¢
Nicolas Oliveira payout
100.0¢
Li Tu payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:11 trades$17.6K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 144 min agoofficial metadata 49 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNicolas Oliveira$5.0K@ 17¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Li Tu. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Oliveira and Li Tu in the Columbus, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Oliveira' if Nicolas Oliveira advances against Li Tu. This market will resolve to 'Li Tu' if Li Tu advances against Nicolas Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nicolas Oliveira; negative values favor Li Tu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNicolas Oliveira · $0
6hNicolas Oliveira · $2.2K
24hNicolas Oliveira · $2.2K

Nicolas Oliveira price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nicolas Oliveira price. Li Tu fills are converted to the complementary Nicolas Oliveira probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h15.6¢▼ below by 15.6pp
VWAP 7d15.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nicolas Oliveira price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$4.5K
15¢
$5.0K
10¢
$8.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$97

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.