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Bari: Lorenzo Angelini vs Garrett Johns

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $51.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $212.4KEvent: Bari: Lorenzo Angelini vs Garrett Johns
38.5¢
Lorenzo Angelini
61.5¢
Garrett Johns
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution23Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$52.9K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 20s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Garrett Johns · $15.1K net·8 wallets·$19.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGarrett Johns$9.3K@ 78¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Garrett Johns pressure: $7.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.1K
6h
−$14.2K
tracked
$52.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Garrett Johns · $15.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 81% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Garrett Johns or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Angelini and Garrett Johns in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Angelini' if Lorenzo Angelini advances against Garrett Johns. This market will resolve to 'Garrett Johns' if Garrett Johns advances against Lorenzo Angelini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Garrett Johns DOWN 4.9pp · near-book depth $2.2K → $627 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lorenzo Angelini; negative values favor Garrett Johns. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGarrett Johns · $7.1K
6hGarrett Johns · $14.2K
24hGarrett Johns · $14.2K

Lorenzo Angelini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lorenzo Angelini price. Garrett Johns fills are converted to the complementary Lorenzo Angelini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h31.7¢▲ above by 6.8pp
VWAP 7d31.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lorenzo Angelini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$6.9K
40¢
$9.6K
35¢
← now
$1.7K
30¢
$2.4K
25¢
$5.1K
20¢
$18.1K
15¢
$8
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$3.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.