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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $147.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $174.8KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka
85.5¢
Stefanos Tsitsipas payout
14.5¢
Yoshihito Nishioka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:16 trades$46.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$23.8K@ 100¢·backback

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Yoshihito Nishioka in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Yoshihito Nishioka. This market will resolve to 'Yoshihito Nishioka' if Yoshihito Nishioka advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Stefanos Tsitsipas; negative values favor Yoshihito Nishioka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStefanos Tsitsipas · $23.8K
6hStefanos Tsitsipas · $25.1K
24hStefanos Tsitsipas · $25.1K

Stefanos Tsitsipas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Stefanos Tsitsipas price. Yoshihito Nishioka fills are converted to the complementary Stefanos Tsitsipas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current85.5¢
VWAP 24h93.0¢▼ below by 7.6pp
VWAP 7d93.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Stefanos Tsitsipas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$25.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$7.6K
80¢
$11.6K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$23.8K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—41 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

backbackStefanos Tsitsipas$23.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.